Markets - Abundance of VLCCs keep rates flat

May 31 2019


MEG’s VLCC programme for June is well under way with some 70 deals concluded so far this week.

However, the awaited flurry of activity did not occur, as activity was measured, Fearnleys said in the weekly report.

There were an increasing number of deals being concluded well under the radar at rates presumably and last done levels. Open tonnage remained in abundance.

The Atlantic also lacked ‘steam’ both ex West Africa and Americas, although some activity was seen ex US Gulf. Some US Gulf fixing activity and then failing created some uncertainty, and rates flattened out after a marginal rise last week.

Thus far there is insufficient activity to change the present sentiment, Fearnleys said.

Suezmaxes saw a week of healthy activity in all areas. Activity in the Americas has picked up again after being static for a few weeks - a much needed addition for Suezmaxes trading in the Atlantic.

Despite a good level of fixing activity, rates moved sideways, at best, with owners struggling to clear out the tonnage overhang in the Western Mediterranean and West Africa, following a busy period with VLCCs.

With rates for Atlantic round voyages barely covering opex, there is limited downside to  owners waiting rather than fixing at raters on offer.

Despite expectations that the Aframax market would firm this week, it did not happen.

The market moved sideways, due to a lack of activity in the North Sea and that some Aframax stems were fixed on Suezmaxes.

Some vessels are still finding employment elsewhere offering better returns, but still this was not sufficient to push the rates in an upward direction.

Aframaxes in the Mediterranean and Black Sea were also trading more or less sideways. Although we have seen rates improve slightly on recent Black Sea stems, straight cross- Med voyages saw a slight dip in returns, as we have also seen charterers finding attractive alternatives in Suezmaxes. TD19 currently stands at WS110 (Wednesday).

In the week to come, Fearnleys predicted a flat/soft market in the natural fixing window – supported by a healthy supply of available Aframax tonnage, especially if the Suezmaxes keep picking off smaller stems.

As for period business, Alibra Shipping reported that period crude rates were firm this week as substantial premiums were seen over spot market levels.

In the clean segment, the focus was again on MRs, as a number of short period business was reported.

Oil prices remained under pressure due to the US/China trade spat.

Brazil’s Petrobras is scheduled to deliver a VLCC crude cargo to bonded storage facilities it has leased at Qingdao by end-June, according to a port source and ship tracking data, analysed by S&P Global Platts.

This will be the first cargo delivered by Petrobras into its bonded storage facilities in Shandong Province after signing the lease in December. This was in line with the company’s plans to increase crude supplies to China by leasing bonded storage in the independent refining hub and offering a new grade of crude.

The VLCC ‘Maran Cleo’ left Angra dos Reis on 17th May and will arrive at Qingdao  around 24th June, according to S&P Global Platts vessel tracking software cFlow. She is currently believed to be chartered to Petrobras.

Petrobras also started to export a new grade of crude- Buzios - this year to independent refineries, with a total of around 330,000 tonnes having arrived in the January-April period.

Buzios is similar in quality to Lula, with an API gravity of around 28.4 deg, and sulfur content of around 0.31%.

In 2018, about 66% of Petrobras’ crude exports went to China, and this is expected to increase further in line with production expansion this year, Platts said.

Maersk Product Tankers has confirmed the order for the remaining four out of 10 LR2 newbuildings from Dalian Shipyard.

This order is part of an ongoing fleet renewal programme in the LR2 segment, Maersk explained.

“We are building the LR2s to ensure we have a portfolio of vessels that best fits our customers’ demands. The newbuildings will help us sustain a competitive fleet in a segment that is attractive to customers and owners alike, and to retain a strong market position,” said Søren Meyer, Maersk Tankers Chief Asset Officer.

In May, 2018, the company confirmed the order of the first six vessels. The plan is to deliver the 10 LR2s from 2020 - 2022. They will come under Maersk Tankers’ commercial, technical and corporate management, the company said.

Brokers reported that Maersk Tankers had recently sold the 2011-built LR2s ‘Maersk Jamnagar’ and ‘Maersk Jeddah’ to Greek interests for $30.3 mill each and had bought the 2011-built MR ‘Fidelity II’ for $18.25 mill.

Elsewhere, private Greek shipowner Nikolaos Vafias has made a significant investment in additional tonnage — purchasing three vessels in a week in deals worth in excess of $65 mill, sources said.

Vafias has bought a single Capesize from a compatriot in a swoop that has clear parallels with his last counter-cyclical venture in the same segment in 2016.

He has also entered two LPG niches for the first time, with the purchase of a secondhand medium sized gas carrier of 38,000 cu m from a major Japanese owner and the acquisition of a resale newbulding of 11,000 cu m under construction in Japan, market sources said.

Vafias took five years away from shipping around the turn of the last decade after handing the running of Brave Maritime over to his son, Harry, in 2008.

He returned in 2013 with new vehicle Eco Dry Ventures, initially in the handysize sector.

Vafias senior was believed to be connected with the purchase of the 38,400 cu m ‘Viking River’ (built 2007) at a price of between $20 mill and $21 mill.

Another 11,000 cu m LPG carrier, set for delivery from a Japanese yard in 2021 costing about $30 mill, is said to complete his flurry of activity.

While Harry Vafias is best known for LPG and tanker investments, his father has historically targeted the drycargo market, where he was first active in the 1970s.

These recent deals pushed the group’s fleet to 82 ships, consisting of LPG carriers, product tankers, crude tankers, capes and smaller-sized bulkers.

In the charter market, Tankerska Next Generation [TNG] has signed an additional six-month charter for one of its ECO MRs with a leading US charterer for $17,100 per day.

The charterer has the opportunity to extend the lease agreement for up to 12 months, TNG said in a Zagreb Stock Exchange filing.

TNG is majority-owned by Zadar-based peer Tankerska Plovidba.

Nordic American Tankers (NAT) has confirmed that the Suezmax ‘Nordic Zenith’, has been period chartered to Equinor for around 12 to 15 months.

The contract is valued is between $9 mill and $11 mill, depending upon the scheduling of the vessel, NAT said.

Brokers reported that Koch had taken the 2015-built ‘Vukovar’ for six months at $17,000 per day and the ‘Pag’ for six to 12 months at $17,100 per day. Koch was also believed to have fixed the ‘Nord Swift’ for 12 months at $19,750 per day.

Trafigura was said to have fixed the ‘Suezmax George’, a 2011-built Suezmax for 12 months at $22,500 per day and the 2006-built Aframax ‘Oklahoma’ for 12 months at $18,250 per day.

‘Oklahoma’ had been reported as sold to Indonesian-based PT Trans. 

Clearlake reportedly fixed the 2016-built ‘Ionic Althea’ for three years at $25,000 per day, while ST Shipping was thought to have fixed the 2018-built LR2 ‘Salamina’ for six months at $20,000 per day.

In the S&P sector, Delta Tankers was said to have purchased at auction the VLCC ‘Brightoil Glory’ built 2012 for $58 mill, while Andromeda was believed to have bought the 2000-built Suezmax for $13.2 mill.

Nordic Shipholding said that it entered into an S&P Memorandum of Agreement on 30th May  to sell the 2000-built Handysize ‘Nordic Ruth’ for a gross sale price of $5.8 mill. 

A few more newbuildings have been reported recently, mainly concerning options being declared.

For example, Navios was said to have firmed up a third VLCC at Imabari, Evalend took a third VLCC at Hyundai and Kyklades declared two more Suezmaxes at Hyundai Samho.

Samos was also said to have ordered a Suezmax at JMU for $62.5 mill, including the fitting of a scrubber.

Reports were coming in at the time of writing that John Fredriksen’s Seatankers had ordered four LR2s and two VLCCs at SWS in Shanghai in a deal worth around $500 mill.

 



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